Iranian Ballistic Missile Estimates

Since Israel began Operation Rising Lion on June 13, Iran has launched massive waves of bal-listic missile attacks. Iran’s missile launches have been declining, however, as Israel has de-graded its launch capabilities. The analysis below seeks to estimate Iran’s remaining ballistic missile arsenal and its possible rate of fire over the coming days.

According to JINSA estimates, Israeli strikes could eliminate as much as half of Iran’s missile launchers, resulting in Iran’s rate of fire dropping below 20 ballistic missiles per day, as soon as June 19. Iran’s missile stockpile could be reduced to less than 500 ballistic missiles as soon as June 23. The longer the exchange of fire continues, the greater the likelihood that Iran will be unwilling or unable to mount large ballistic missile barrages as it loses its launchers, missile stockpile, and potentially seeks to preserve capabilities for the future.

Click here to read the Iranian Ballistic Missile Estimate.