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		<title>Iranian Cyber Operations</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Oct 2026 19:04:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jinsa-shavdala]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis & Commentary]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Americans have long found comfort in the two oceans that separate us from Middle East wars, but the vulnerabilities Iranian cyber operations pose bring these conflicts much closer to home. Through cyber intrusion, Iran has already disrupted our water supply<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>Americans have long found comfort in the two oceans that separate us from Middle East wars, but the vulnerabilities Iranian cyber operations pose bring these conflicts much closer to home. Through cyber intrusion, Iran has already disrupted our <a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/08/12/nx-s1-5927437/cyberattack-water-iran-war" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">water supply</a> and <a href="https://www.hipaajournal.com/stryker-cyberattack-iran" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">healthcare sector</a> while continuing to threaten our <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/video/6404543098112" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">energy and telecommunications infrastructure</a>. If we fail to force an end to Iran’s cyber warfare, collaborate with our partners to alert the public on Iranian threats, and help communities address key cybersecurity concerns, the Iranian state and cybercriminals may cause irreversible damage to American infrastructure.</p>
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<p>Attempting to disrupt U.S. military operations and  the American government, cybercriminals within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ (IRGC) <a href="https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa26-097a">Cyber Economic Command</a> and Iran’s <a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-disrupts-iranian-cyber-enabled-psychological-operations">Ministry of Intelligence (MOIS)</a>, such as Handala Hack Team and APT Iran, launched direct cyberattacks targeting American troops and officials.  These attacks not only demonstrated Iran’s intent to harm the American warfighter, but also compromise our defense apparatus. Handala <a href="https://www.securityweek.com/iranian-cyber-group-handala-targets-us-troops-in-bahrain/">claimed</a> responsibility for seizing the personal information of U.S. servicemembers stationed in the Middle East and hacking the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigations Director’s email, while APT Iran claimed to steal details on the <a href="https://www.cybersecuritydive.com/news/iran-actors-claims-cyber-threat-us-allies/816228/#:~:text=Handala%20Hack%20%28state%2Dlinked,within%2048%20hours%29.">F-35 fighter jet</a> from Lockheed Martin.</p>
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<p>Iran has also carried out cyberattacks on critical infrastructure in the continental United States, demonstrating its reach and determination to harm noncombatants. Attacking infrastructure can quickly undermine our way of life, such as threatening our school safety, clean water, food access, and heating and cooling systems. In a horrifying incident in March, Handala likely launched the most significant wartime cyberattack against the United States, with hackers claiming to have wiped between 80,000-200,000 devices, prompting surgery delays at hospitals and panic amongst patients nationwide. Then, in July, several American towns <a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/08/12/nx-s1-5927437/cyberattack-water-iran-war" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">issued</a> water advisories after a coordinated cyberattack struck water facilities across the United States, with cybersecurity experts noting that the techniques mirror past Iranian hacking operations.</p>
<p>As Iran openly hacked U.S. infrastructure, the regime also launched cyberattacks on Israel and America’s Arab partners, pressuring them to curtail relations with the United States. While claiming responsibility for cyberattacks on <a href="https://unit42.paloaltonetworks.com/iranian-cyberattacks-2026" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">military and critical infrastructure systems</a> across the Middle East, including in Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.), Iranian forces also combined cyberoperations with kinetic strikes to maximize their damage. Handala has claimed to have hacked the facility and stolen around 430,000 classified documents.</p>
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<p>While the Trump administration has recently <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/08/expanding-capabilities-to-combat-transnational-cyber-enabled-crime" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">expanded</a> the U.S. government’s jurisdiction to combat foreign cybercriminals, Iranian cybergroups’ recent <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/video/6404543098112" data-rc-component="TrackedLink/TrackedLink">threats</a> to our water, energy, and telecommunications sectors suggest they feel empowered to continue launching attacks.</p>
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<p>As U.S. forces in the Middle East combat Iranian missiles and drone attacks on our troops and allies, the United States must counter the full range of Iranian aggression, including the regime’s use of cyberwarfare. Until we do that, Iran will continue to have a means of pressuring the United States and targeting Americans. Therefore, U.S. officials should publicly signal a firm position that Washington will only agree to end the war and will hinge any future deal with Iran if the regime halts cyberattacks on U.S. and partner infrastructure.</p>
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<p>But linking a deal may not entirely stop Iran from finding loopholes to resume its malign operations. Therefore, the intelligence community and U.S. foreign partners should exchange common tactics, techniques, and procedures of Iranian cybercriminals and inform the public on these identifying features. By exposing Iran’s common hacking signatures, government’s can prepare their people to recognize and thwart Iran’s operations.</p>
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<p>Meanwhile, the U.S. Cybersecurity and Critical Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) should lead a nationwide hands-on cybersecurity educational initiative with state, local, and tribal governments, as well as major infrastructure stakeholders, such as telecommunications, water, and energy companies aimed at identifying zero-day vulnerabilities and providing them with the necessary tools and resources to fix them. Within this initiative, any organization CISA assesses to have a direct role in operating our critical infrastructure must meet a series of cybersecurity conditions CISA sets, and must undergo annual reviews ensuring full compliance with CISA safeguards.</p>
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<p>Iran’s kinetic attacks and assault on the Strait of Hormuz aren’t the only actions causing international chaos. Iran’s cyber warfare has infiltrated the daily lives of American citizens and disrupted military operations overseas. It is essential that Washington treat any cyberattack targeting our military assets, civilians, and international partners like any other kinetic strike. Therefore, we must hold Iran accountable for its cyberattacks while actively collaborating with our foreign partners and rigorously bolstering our cyber defenses nationwide.</p>
<p><em>Edited 10/19</em></p>
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<p><em><strong>Lt Gen Michael Groen, USMC (ret.) </strong>was Director of the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center (JAIC) and was a participant in the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) 2023 Generals and Admirals Program.<br />
<strong><br />
Sarah Havdala </strong>is a policy analyst at JINSA.</em></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px">Read the original piece in <a href="https://www.realcleardefense.com/cyber-warfare/articles/iranian-cyber-operations-2026-10-17">RealClearDefense</a>.</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/iranian-cyber-operations/">Iranian Cyber Operations</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>To Squeeze Iran, Washington Must Go After Halkbank</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/to-squeeze-iran-washington-must-go-after-halkbank/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2026 13:39:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jonah Brody]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis & Commentary]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>When U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent launched Operation Economic Outcast against Iran, he promised to target its “enablers” and “sever every economic lifeline that sustains this tyrannical regime until Tehran stands alone.” Washington has since sanctioned everything from foreign banks<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p><span data-olk-copy-source="MessageBody">When U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent launched Operation Economic Outcast against Iran, he </span><a title="https://www.npr.org/2026/08/24/g-s1-139743/treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-to-unveil-new-economic-sanctions-on-iran" href="https://www.npr.org/2026/08/24/g-s1-139743/treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-to-unveil-new-economic-sanctions-on-iran" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="1">promised to target</a> its “enablers” and “sever every economic lifeline that sustains this tyrannical regime until Tehran stands alone.” Washington has since sanctioned everything from foreign banks to Iranian airlines. Yet it has spared one of the most prominent institutions ever accused of helping Iran evade U.S. sanctions: Turkey’s state-owned Halkbank. This Iranian lifeline, too, must be severed.</p>
<p>In one of the biggest sanctions-evasion cases ever, <a title="https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/turkish-bank-charged-manhattan-federal-court-its-participation-multibillion-dollar" href="https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/turkish-bank-charged-manhattan-federal-court-its-participation-multibillion-dollar" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="2">U.S. prosecutors charged in 2019 that, between 2012 and 2016, Halkbank violated U.S. sanctions by</a> transferring roughly $20 billion in Iranian oil proceeds into gold and cash while disguising the transactions as legitimate food trade. Washington spent years prosecuting Halkbank, only to <a title="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/turkeys-halkbank-us-justice-department-deferred-prosecution-agreement-judge-says-2026-03-09" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/turkeys-halkbank-us-justice-department-deferred-prosecution-agreement-judge-says-2026-03-09" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="3">settle the case through a deferred prosecution agreement in March</a> and <a title="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-department-justice-formally-moves-drop-halkbank-case-2026-06-11" href="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-department-justice-formally-moves-drop-halkbank-case-2026-06-11" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="4">drop it in June</a> without the bank paying a fine or admitting to any wrongdoing.</p>
<p>Halkbank’s reprieve, according to Justice Department filings, was <a title="https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rRDhhbMx9_c4/v0?_sp=35c822e8-7bd0-4697-8576-95ffc408aa8c.1790107739866" href="https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rRDhhbMx9_c4/v0?_sp=35c822e8-7bd0-4697-8576-95ffc408aa8c.1790107739866" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="5">tied to Turkey’s help</a> in brokering the October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza. With this trade, Washington told Ankara that it can buy immunity from U.S. sanctions enforcement and signaled to Tehran that Turkish banks remain a safe channel for its money.</p>
<p>Turkey and Iran got the message. A financial architecture like the one that enabled Halkbank’s sanctions evasion once again operates from Turkey.</p>
<p>On September 4, the Treasury <a title="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0622#:~:text=T%C3%BCrkiye%2Dbased%20Golden%20Global%20Yatirim%20Bankasi%20Anonim%20Sirketi%20was%20established%20for%20the%20purpose%20of%20enabling%20Iran%E2%80%99s%20rahbar%20network%20to%20transfer%20oil%20revenues%20from%20China%20to%20Turkey%2C%20where%20it%20could%20then%20be%20converted%20to%20cash%20and%20gold%20by%20rahbar%20money%20exchangers." href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0622#:~:text=T%C3%BCrkiye%2Dbased%20Golden%20Global%20Yatirim%20Bankasi%20Anonim%20Sirketi%20was%20established%20for%20the%20purpose%20of%20enabling%20Iran%E2%80%99s%20rahbar%20network%20to%20transfer%20oil%20revenues%20from%20China%20to%20Turkey%2C%20where%20it%20could%20then%20be%20converted%20to%20cash%20and%20gold%20by%20rahbar%20money%20exchangers." target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="6">said</a> Istanbul-based Golden Global Yatirim Bankasi was established to enable Iran’s <em>rahbar</em> network—the front companies Iran’s sanctioned banks use to move money abroad—to transfer oil revenues from China to Turkey, where exchangers could convert them into cash and gold and move them to Iran. That is the route Halkbank was accused of running a decade earlier.</p>
<p>And, soon, Halkbank itself could restart funneling money to Iran. Turkey’s 25-year gas contract with Iran <a title="https://www.forbes.com/sites/guneyyildiz/2026/06/29/turkeys-iran-gas-deal-ends-in-july-the-real-test-is-the-payment-rail" href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/guneyyildiz/2026/06/29/turkeys-iran-gas-deal-ends-in-july-the-real-test-is-the-payment-rail" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="7">expired in July</a>, but the pipeline network in eastern Anatolia was built around Iranian supply and Iranian gas met nearly <a title="https://iranwire.com/en/features/155770-iran-turkey-25-year-gas-deal-expires" href="https://iranwire.com/en/features/155770-iran-turkey-25-year-gas-deal-expires" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="8">13 percent</a> of Turkish consumption. Neither government has said whether the contract’s automatic five-year extension was triggered. But if it was, Halkbank, which historically processed Turkey’s payments for Iranian energy, could again be handling Iranian revenue.</p>
<p>Despite this exposure of its financial institutions to Iranian sanctions evasion, Ankara has acted only when Washington applies pressure. On September 18, Turkish regulators <a title="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkey-revokes-operating-license-irans-mellat-bank-amid-us-measures-2026-09-18" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkey-revokes-operating-license-irans-mellat-bank-amid-us-measures-2026-09-18" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="9">revoked the operating license</a> of Bank Mellat’s Istanbul branch, an Iranian state lender under U.S. sanctions that Turkey had allowed to operate for years. Two days earlier, regulators placed nearly all shareholder rights at Golden Global under state control, <a title="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0622" href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0622" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="10">roughly two weeks after the U.S. designation</a>. When the Treasury went after <a title="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0623" href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0623" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="11">Iran’s aviation sector</a>, Ankara <a title="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-halts-iran-mahan-air-flights-over-us-sanctions-risk" href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-halts-iran-mahan-air-flights-over-us-sanctions-risk" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="12">halted</a> Mahan Air flights and Turkey’s flag carrier Turkish Airlines <a title="https://www.iranintl.com/en/202609212495" href="https://www.iranintl.com/en/202609212495" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="13">suspended</a> flights to Iran. Yet, none of these steps touched Halkbank or the exchange houses that convert Iranian revenue into gold, and Iranian trade <a title="https://www.iranintl.com/en/202609169750" href="https://www.iranintl.com/en/202609169750" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="14">still moves</a> through Turkish intermediaries and informal networks.</p>
<p>Washington, too, so far, seems uninterested in Halkbank, or Turkey’s, possible role in aiding Iran, even after Economic Outcast began. After the Golden Global designation, U.S. Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack stressed that the action was no indictment of Ankara, saying “<a title="https://x.com/USAMBTurkiye/status/2096028235221901317?s=20" href="https://x.com/USAMBTurkiye/status/2096028235221901317?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="15">the health of the Turkish financial system is not in question</a>.” That reassurance clashes with the Treasury’s warning that foreign institutions facilitating Iranian sanctions evasion risk losing access to the U.S. financial system. A warning that loses force if it stops at institutions with clout in Washington.</p>
<p>Washington should apply pressure most forcefully on Halkbank to close the channel Iran has used before for its energy revenue and show Ankara that political influence no longer buys exemption from U.S. law. After all, American pressure has worked in Ankara before. In 2018, sanctions on <a title="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-45036378" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-45036378" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="16">two Turkish ministers</a> and <a title="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trumps-announcement-upping-tariffs-on-turkey-comes-after-failure-to-free-american-pastor" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trumps-announcement-upping-tariffs-on-turkey-comes-after-failure-to-free-american-pastor" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="17">higher steel and aluminum tariffs</a> secured the release of <a title="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-45841276" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-45841276" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="18">detained American pastor Andrew Brunson</a> that October.</p>
<p>First, the Treasury should require Halkbank, as a condition of its access to U.S. correspondent banks, to accept a U.S.-selected monitor with access to any accounts held for Iranian entities, a safeguard the deferred prosecution agreement left to a reviewer of Halkbank’s own choosing.</p>
<p>Second, the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network should publicly state that any Iranian payment routed through Halkbank outside a transparent, U.S.-monitored channel will trigger a <a title="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/tg1056" href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/tg1056" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="19">Section 311 finding</a>—which can bar U.S. banks from maintaining correspondent accounts for the targeted institution—as it has already proposed for <a title="https://www.fincen.gov/news/news-releases/fincen-proposes-rule-would-revoke-banque-misr-uaes-correspondent-banking-access" href="https://www.fincen.gov/news/news-releases/fincen-proposes-rule-would-revoke-banque-misr-uaes-correspondent-banking-access" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-auth="NotApplicable" data-linkindex="20">Banque Misr’s United Arab Emirates branches</a>. More broadly, Washington should hold the Turkish state responsible for the conduct of the banks it owns and the exchange houses it regulates.</p>
<p>Economic Outcast rests on the premise that no foreign institution can safely facilitate Iran’s access to international finance. That premise holds only if it applies to the largest state banks of an American ally, which just so happens to have been one of Iran’s largest economic lifelines. That lifeline must be severed.</p>
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<p><em><strong>Blaise Misztal</strong> is the Vice President for Policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA).<br />
<strong><br />
Jonah Brody </strong>is a policy analyst at JINSA.</em></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px">Read the original piece in <a href="https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2026/10/15/to_squeeze_iran_washington_must_go_after_halkbank_1211816.html">RealClearWorld</a>.</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/to-squeeze-iran-washington-must-go-after-halkbank/">To Squeeze Iran, Washington Must Go After Halkbank</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>JINSA President Dr. Michael Makovsky on the Houthi Quandary (Fox News)</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/jinsa-president-michael-makovsky-saudi-arabias-houthi-mistake/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 19:23:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yoni Tobin]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Israel at War]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>On October 12, JINSA President and CEO Michael Makovsky, PhD, spoke to Fox News about the latest Houthi attacks, including the group&#8217;s October 10 drone and missile strike on Riyadh&#8217;s international airport. That attack was the deadliest on Saudi soil<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/jinsa-president-michael-makovsky-saudi-arabias-houthi-mistake/">JINSA President Dr. Michael Makovsky on the Houthi Quandary (Fox News)</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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<p>On October 12, JINSA President and CEO <a href="http://jinsa.org/person/dr-michael-makovsky/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-link-type="web">Michael Makovsky, PhD,</a> spoke to Fox News about the latest Houthi attacks, including the group&#8217;s October 10 drone and missile strike on Riyadh&#8217;s international airport. That attack was the deadliest on Saudi soil since 2015 and killed a U.S. citizen. Dr. Makovsky noted that Iran is the Houthis&#8217; main funder and arms supplier, a role which enables Houthi aggression. He observed that the Houthi slogan is “God is the greatest. Death to America. Death to Israel. A curse upon the Jews. Victory to Islam,” and commented, “It&#8217;s not exactly a Disney slogan.”</p>
<p>Noting that Saudi Arabia made a strategic mistake by alienating its key allies in recent months, Dr. Makovsky discussed the way forward, including the possibility of an international counter-Houthi coalition. He also argued that the Iranian and Yemeni fronts cannot be separated: “The more we can weaken the regime in Tehran &#8230; the more that&#8217;s going to weaken the Houthis.”</p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/jinsa-president-michael-makovsky-saudi-arabias-houthi-mistake/">JINSA President Dr. Michael Makovsky on the Houthi Quandary (Fox News)</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>Iran ‘Blew the Hell Out of Bahrain’ — And Trump’s Gulf Strategy With It</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/iran-blew-out-of-bahrain-and-trumps-gulf-strategy/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 17:36:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jonah Brody]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis & Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel at War]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://jinsa.org/?p=24563</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>“They blew the hell out of Bahrain.” That was acting Navy Secretary Hung Cao’s assessment last month of the damage Iranian missiles have done to Naval Support Activity Bahrain — the base inside the Persian Gulf that served for decades<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/iran-blew-out-of-bahrain-and-trumps-gulf-strategy/">Iran ‘Blew the Hell Out of Bahrain’ — And Trump’s Gulf Strategy With It</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="wp-block-paragraph">“They blew the hell out of Bahrain.” That was acting Navy Secretary Hung Cao’s assessment last month of the damage Iranian missiles have done to Naval Support Activity Bahrain — the base inside the Persian Gulf that served for decades as the headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet. He wasn’t exaggerating. Two weeks earlier, the Navy’s top admiral, Daryl Caudle, told sailors evacuated from NSA-Bahrain that “We’re not getting back in there anytime soon.”</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">An important debate has begun about the future of NSA-Bahrain and other U.S. bases damaged by Iranian missiles. Should they be rebuilt, downsized, or abandoned due to their vulnerability? Before answering, however, U.S. officials must first confront a difficult new reality highlighted by the war: The decision about whether the Navy returns to the Gulf is no longer Washington’s alone to make. With its newfound ability to impede access to the Strait of Hormuz, Iran now has a vote and every incentive to use it.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Driving the U.S. military out of the Gulf has long been a core Iranian objective. Before Feb. 28, that objective ran up against the reality of America’s unchallenged naval dominance. But the Fifth Fleet’s wartime withdrawal outside the Gulf, NSA-Bahrain’s devastation, and Iran’s unprecedented success contesting Hormuz have thrown America’s maritime primacy into doubt. Iran is now determined to transform the Fifth Fleet’s presence from a fixed feature of the region’s geography into a negotiated outcome.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Iran previewed its playbook in last June’s memorandum of understanding that was supposed to end the war. That deal committed Iran to restoring safe passage in Hormuz, but only for “commercial vessels.” Not a word about restoring free movement for U.S. warships in the Gulf. It was a stunning omission, especially given the Navy’s historical role as guarantor of the free flow of oil through Hormuz.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Though the MOU quickly collapsed, Iran had nevertheless established a deeply problematic precedent: that commercial shipping and U.S. naval access are separable questions. It will almost certainly demand maintaining that separation in any future arrangement to end the war. And it will bank on influential forces eager to restore commerce through Hormuz — energy markets, U.S. allies, and Americans demanding lower gas prices — to pressure the Trump administration to also accept the tankers vs warships distinction.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How would the United States respond to an Iranian offer to reopen Hormuz so long as the U.S. Navy remains out? Acceptance would be seen as a devastating defeat that forced the world’s most formidable maritime power to retreat from waters it dominated for decades.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But insisting on the reestablishment of the prewar status quo, with American destroyers plying the Gulf within eyeshot of Iran, carries its own substantial risks. It’s one thing if it can be secured through the administration’s current effort to strangle Iran economically via a naval blockade and sanctions. It’s quite another if it can only be won by the Navy fighting its way back into the Gulf and imposing its will on an Iranian leadership that not only appears determined to resist but remains capable of doing so.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Navy effectively left the Gulf at the war’s start and hasn’t been back since, precisely because the risks of getting within range of Iranian missiles have been deemed prohibitively high. The job the U.S. military has recently done to loosen Iran’s chokehold on Hormuz and get more oil out has been extraordinary, but far from a classic naval “escort” mission.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Instead, the operational burden has fallen to aerial and unmanned assets — fighter jets, autonomous vehicles, helicopters, anti-missile systems — to establish a protective dome over commercial ships as they surreptitiously sail through Hormuz at night, absent a naval convoy. The heart of the Navy, its capital ships, has been left enforcing the blockade from hundreds of miles outside Hormuz, maintaining a cautious distance from threatening Iranian fire.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Between abandonment and the status quo ante, there may be a third option that reconceives what a naval headquarters entails and is better suited to 21st-century warfare. Rather than large ships manned by thousands of sailors, maybe it means a new and newly hardened command and control center at NSA-Bahrain that oversees offensive, defensive, and intelligence operations conducted by thousands of cheap drones operating above, on, and beneath the Gulf’s waters.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hormuz’s future has become a key benchmark by which the U.S. war against Iran will be judged. But it’s imperative that U.S. officials understand the full magnitude of what’s at stake. The issue is not simply whether one of the global economy’s most vital chokepoints will be open to free commerce. It will also be whether the most powerful navy on Earth can again operate effectively in waters where it ruled supreme for decades. The answer, whatever it is, will echo far beyond the Gulf.</p>
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<p><em><strong>John Hannah</strong> worked in the George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush administrations, including as national security advisor to former vice president Dick Cheney. He is a senior fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA).</em></p>
<p><em><strong>Rena Gabber</strong> is a research associate at JINSA.</em></p>
<p><strong>Read the original piece in <a href="https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/op-eds/4761617/us-navy-persian-gulf-iran-hormuz/?srsltid=AU7gw4W8pVJK2fP0MBIxYkegkTKm3sw0bhj261Phxs19gVJ5XsGtukVM."><em>Washington Examiner</em></a>.</strong></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/iran-blew-out-of-bahrain-and-trumps-gulf-strategy/">Iran ‘Blew the Hell Out of Bahrain’ — And Trump’s Gulf Strategy With It</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>Israel’s Dangerous Dependence: The U.S., Iran, and a New MOU</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/israels-dangerous-dependence-the-u-s-iran-and-a-new-mou/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 15:15:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yoni Tobin]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis & Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel at War]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Four times since 2024, Iran has launched massive missile barrages against Israel. Four times, the U.S. military surged capabilities to defend Israel. And four times, the U.S.-Israeli effort performed superbly, keeping casualties and damage low. That’s the good news. The<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/israels-dangerous-dependence-the-u-s-iran-and-a-new-mou/">Israel’s Dangerous Dependence: The U.S., Iran, and a New MOU</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Four times since 2024, Iran has launched massive missile barrages against Israel. Four times, the U.S. military surged capabilities to defend Israel. And four times, the U.S.-Israeli effort performed superbly, keeping casualties and damage low. That’s the good news.</p>
<p>The bad news is that this pattern of America riding to Israel’s rescue is not sustainable. Israel would be delusional to assume it is. Instead, what’s needed is an urgent effort to make Israel’s defenses as self-reliant as possible.</p>
<p>The trajectory of growing dependence is clear. In April 2024, Iran launched its first-ever direct attack on Israel, firing around 120 ballistic missiles. U.S. ships deployed near Israel used advanced SM-3 interceptors to knock down six while Israeli defenses handled the rest. Fewer than 10 missiles penetrated. No Israelis died.</p>
<p>In October 2024, Iran attacked again, launching 200 missiles. Once more, U.S. SM-3s destroyed six, with Israel targeting the remainder. While neutralizing a high percentage, with no Israelis killed, the number of missiles that penetrated was at least four times higher than in April.</p>
<p>Reports indicated that Israel’s stockpile of long-range Arrow interceptors had been heavily stressed, requiring rationing that prioritized populated areas over military bases.</p>
<p>Recognizing its growing vulnerability, Israel requested Washington supplement its naval assets with an emergency deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system.</p>
<p>Despite having only eight in America’s arsenal, president Joe Biden quickly approved the request. Then, prior to last year’s 12 Day War against Iran, President Donald Trump dispatched a second THAAD – leaving a quarter of America’s entire inventory defending Israel.</p>
<p>All of it was needed. During the 12 Day War, the U.S. fired up to 150 THAAD interceptors – 25% of its total stockpile – as well as 80 SM-3s.</p>
<p>The numbers were even worse during this year’s Iran war, with over 200 THAADs and 100 SM-3s expended protecting Israel. In both wars, the United States fired significantly more high-end interceptors over Israel than Israel fired itself. Reports again indicated Israel’s Arrow stockpile was in extremis.</p>
<p>The trend line should alarm defense planners. The issue isn’t whether the US-Israeli effort was successful. During the two wars, interception rates against 1200 Iranian missiles approached 90%. Fewer than 60 Israelis died.</p>
<p>The real question is whether the model can be sustained and whether Israel can count on Washington being there the next time, or the time after that. The honest answer is probably not, for two reasons.</p>
<p>The first is capacity. The U.S. is a global power. Every THAAD or SM-3 fired over Israel is one less available to defend U.S. forces in a conflagration with China that would make Iran look like a minor skirmish. Reports suggest that about 80% of America’s THAAD missiles are gone.</p>
<p>Even with a crash program to boost production, getting back to prewar levels could take three years or longer. Math, physics, and geopolitics are conspiring to make it impossible to sustain recent levels of U.S. support for Israel’s defense.</p>
<p>The second reason is political. U.S. public support for Israel is in free fall. While a bipartisan phenomenon, it’s gone mainstream among Democrats. Large numbers of the party’s elected officials now regularly vote against military support for Israel.</p>
<p>Can Israel perform brilliantly alone?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s easy to imagine that opposition extending to future deployments of scarce U.S. military assets – especially when portrayed as draining America’s own readiness. No one should assume that a future president from either party will do what Biden or Trump did repeatedly since 2024.</p>
<p>That’s why it’s critical that good use be made of the last two years of Trump’s presidency to increase Israel’s self-sufficiency. An existing Memorandum of Understanding on defense cooperation runs through 2028 and commits Washington to provide Israel $3.8 billion in annual military assistance, including $500 million for missile defense.</p>
<p>If possible, a huge chunk of that money should be reprogrammed to increase the anti-missile component by three or four times – with Israel matching every dollar.</p>
<p>The same principle should apply to the post-2028 MOU currently being negotiated. Wisely, Israel has said this will be the last MOU seeking U.S. financial support. However many years it covers, and whatever aid amount it includes, the balance should shift decisively to shoring up Israel’s ability to defend itself, by itself.</p>
<p>Getting congressional approval for more assistance will be difficult under any circumstances. But a clear prioritization of defensive over offensive weapons should help – especially if framed as reducing risk to America’s own readiness, conditioned on Israeli matching funds, and the aid zeros out at a certain date.</p>
<p>Israel’s defenses have performed brilliantly. The question is whether they can be made to perform brilliantly alone. The time to answer is now, when the will still exists in the White House to make progress before it’s too late.</p>
<p><em><strong>John Hannah</strong> worked in the George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush administrations, including as national security advisor to former vice president Dick Cheney. He is a senior fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA).</em></p>
<p><em><strong>Rena Gabber</strong> is a research associate at JINSA.</em></p>
<p><strong>Read the original piece in <a href="https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-911293"><em>The Jerusalem Post</em></a>.</strong></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/israels-dangerous-dependence-the-u-s-iran-and-a-new-mou/">Israel’s Dangerous Dependence: The U.S., Iran, and a New MOU</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>Aiming at Israel, Europe Is Hitting Its Own Defenses in a Circular Firing Squad</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/aiming-at-israel-europe-is-hitting-its-own-defenses-in-a-circular-firing-squad/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 21:51:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yoni Tobin]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis & Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel at War]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://jinsa.org/?p=24553</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Europe’s governments have stepped into a ring and leveled their weapons inward, treating Israel as the sole target in the center. The trouble is that the circle is not empty ground — it is a shared defense line. Several European<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/aiming-at-israel-europe-is-hitting-its-own-defenses-in-a-circular-firing-squad/">Aiming at Israel, Europe Is Hitting Its Own Defenses in a Circular Firing Squad</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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<p>Europe’s governments have stepped into a ring and leveled their weapons inward, treating Israel as the sole target in the center. The trouble is that the circle is not empty ground — it is a shared defense line.</p>
<p>Several European countries face concrete threats from Russia and Iran, yet Denmark, France, and Norway have lately <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-security/2026-09-23/ty-article/.premium/european-countries-restrict-defense-supplies-to-israel-disrupting-naval-buildup/000001a0-cea1-d4d3-a1b0-efbb9ba40000" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-security/2026-09-23/ty-article/.premium/european-countries-restrict-defense-supplies-to-israel-disrupting-naval-buildup/000001a0-cea1-d4d3-a1b0-efbb9ba40000&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2XvRe7Lp-Svhhi44Mw99Xu">moved to impede</a> the military readiness of the country <a href="https://orientxxi.info/how-israel-is-developing-scorpion-at-the-heart-of-france-s-future-system-of,4639" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://orientxxi.info/how-israel-is-developing-scorpion-at-the-heart-of-france-s-future-system-of,4639&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3W2p_oZaQhO8a5zByAxoBZ">supplying them</a> advanced defense technology.</p>
<p>Norwegian officials worry that Russian gray-zone activity near Svalbard could <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-vladimir-putin-is-testing-nato-on-norways-remote-arctic-islands/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-vladimir-putin-is-testing-nato-on-norways-remote-arctic-islands/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2ziSxTAe2DAkjxYLE5iYUM">trigger</a> a NATO-Russia confrontation. In late September, Danish intelligence flagged the <a href="https://www.janes.com/defence-intelligence-insights/defence-news/sea/danish-intelligence-highlights-russian-aggression-in-baltic-deniable-uav-tactics" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.janes.com/defence-intelligence-insights/defence-news/sea/danish-intelligence-highlights-russian-aggression-in-baltic-deniable-uav-tactics&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2XaZbspyAUCp0-QQlk1hBw">growing risk</a> of limited Russian military action against NATO states, citing Russia’s <a href="https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4154928-russia-deploying-warships-to-baltic-sea-posing-threat-to-regional-countries-bild.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4154928-russia-deploying-warships-to-baltic-sea-posing-threat-to-regional-countries-bild.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2c_4-ZKBtoK18oCGAwjyPE">aggressive naval behavior</a> in the Baltic Sea. Iran and its proxies have recently <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/world/europe/bank-of-america-attack-pro-iranian-group.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/world/europe/bank-of-america-attack-pro-iranian-group.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3NwsxVXKVjYoSgN6b0PD-L">plotted attacks</a> on <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/47e0fb9c-dc46-11e8-9f04-38d397e6661c?syn-25a6b1a6=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.ft.com/content/47e0fb9c-dc46-11e8-9f04-38d397e6661c?syn-25a6b1a6%3D1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3R7wqENnChKWHKIWYHhtvH">Danish</a>, <a href="https://www.jns.org/news/world/foiled-france-synagogue-plot-bore-iranian-hallmarks" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.jns.org/news/world/foiled-france-synagogue-plot-bore-iranian-hallmarks&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0sopC1-xnULON9Nm0YTh7R">French</a>, and <a href="https://cepa.org/article/and-so-it-begins-irans-terror-proxies-emerge-from-the-shadows/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://cepa.org/article/and-so-it-begins-irans-terror-proxies-emerge-from-the-shadows/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw12WDoIOQ4j0KyBsE7wr2Vf">Norwegian</a> targets. During the recent Iran war, Tehran also <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/21/us/politics/iran-missiles-military-base.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/21/us/politics/iran-missiles-military-base.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1s_Hi5zLXTEX1VszyCDpLv">demonstrated</a> that its long-range missiles could reach much of Western Europe.</p>
<p>Instead of reinforcing their defenses, the three governments have restricted Israeli port access and withheld components from the German shipyards that build Israel’s warships. Norway and Denmark <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-security/2026-09-23/ty-article/.premium/european-countries-restrict-defense-supplies-to-israel-disrupting-naval-buildup/000001a0-cea1-d4d3-a1b0-efbb9ba40000" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-security/2026-09-23/ty-article/.premium/european-countries-restrict-defense-supplies-to-israel-disrupting-naval-buildup/000001a0-cea1-d4d3-a1b0-efbb9ba40000&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2XvRe7Lp-Svhhi44Mw99Xu">barred</a> Israel’s INS Drakon submarine, even while it sailed under a German flag, from conducting trials in their territorial waters, forcing a detour of thousands of miles and causing months of delay. France has <a href="https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/09/24/ins-drakon-submarine-arrives-in-israel/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/09/24/ins-drakon-submarine-arrives-in-israel/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1gUSfcRnhNOwQi_IQDrJ7u">joined them</a> in <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-security/2026-09-23/ty-article/.premium/european-countries-restrict-defense-supplies-to-israel-disrupting-naval-buildup/000001a0-cea1-d4d3-a1b0-efbb9ba40000" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-security/2026-09-23/ty-article/.premium/european-countries-restrict-defense-supplies-to-israel-disrupting-naval-buildup/000001a0-cea1-d4d3-a1b0-efbb9ba40000&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2XvRe7Lp-Svhhi44Mw99Xu">refusing</a> certain defense components for the German yards constructing Israeli submarines and Saar corvettes. Germany has built all four of Israel’s Saar-6 corvettes and all six of its active submarines.</p>
<p>Political incentives help explain these choices. Israel is a <a href="https://www.newarab.com/news/how-palestine-becoming-fault-line-french-elections" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.newarab.com/news/how-palestine-becoming-fault-line-french-elections&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2sN0bXfZri6gRHcgbYHMRw">fault line</a> in the French presidential cycle, and around 10 percent of the French population are Muslims. France’s government <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd9ykqw22zlo" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd9ykqw22zlo&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw37mxfx8Qfh21NFZqKkofLa">formally recognized</a> a nonexistent Palestine last year. Denmark’s fragile governing coalition has <a href="https://www.newarab.com/news/danish-supreme-court-rejects-case-arms-sales-israel" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.newarab.com/news/danish-supreme-court-rejects-case-arms-sales-israel&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0F0fA0-LKuHvauVRXXNhk7">taken heat</a> for defense ties with Jerusalem, and approximately 5 percent of Denmark’s population is Muslim. The measures may be symbolic, but their effect is not.</p>
<p>The circular-firing-squad problem is straightforward. The same governments still buy, or plan to buy, combat-proven Israeli systems to protect their own forces. Norway, which also <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/spain-ireland-norway-set-recognise-palestinian-statehood-2024-05-28/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.reuters.com/world/spain-ireland-norway-set-recognise-palestinian-statehood-2024-05-28/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw24iz0ja8jOwb5B2_5CokrN">recognizes</a> a Palestinian state, this year <a href="https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-895553" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-895553&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0X0zQPIjdjyAqIERxaWFDl">began receiving</a> Leopard 2A8 tanks fitted with Israeli firm Rafael’s Trophy active protection system — the only such system with a sustained <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/israels-merkava-tank-has-hezbollah-and-hamas-sweating-bullets-213385" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/israels-merkava-tank-has-hezbollah-and-hamas-sweating-bullets-213385&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3wqOh9674GhyOJHCFdvCJI">combat record</a> against anti-tank missiles. Without it, Norwegian armor would be more exposed to the Russian threat Oslo itself <a href="https://www.kyivpost.com/post/76714" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.kyivpost.com/post/76714&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1AZgzf87sRB8qAWlsEXO7B">describes</a> as growing. Norway is also acquiring British Type 26 frigates whose electronic warfare suites <a href="https://www.naval-technology.com/news/dsei-2025-less-risk-for-norway-to-integrate-mewsic-on-type-26/?cf-view" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.naval-technology.com/news/dsei-2025-less-risk-for-norway-to-integrate-mewsic-on-type-26/?cf-view&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2b2uNqWGEajfe4sky9s2Go">draw on</a> Israeli technology.</p>
<p>Denmark <a href="https://defence-industry.eu/elbit-systems-delivers-first-artillery-systems-to-denmark/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://defence-industry.eu/elbit-systems-delivers-first-artillery-systems-to-denmark/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw284arDunvYJd4h7mQlFRx5">purchased</a> Israeli rocket artillery and has <a href="https://en.globes.co.il/en/article-denmark-revives-interest-in-israeli-air-defense-system-1001523127" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.globes.co.il/en/article-denmark-revives-interest-in-israeli-air-defense-system-1001523127&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1g6HnCMlbmxDHRh9P6dCf2">shown interest</a> in Israel’s Barak-MX air defenses and in frigates <a href="https://www.naval-technology.com/news/dsei-2025-less-risk-for-norway-to-integrate-mewsic-on-type-26/?cf-view#:~:text=Just%20as%20Norway,wider%20Nordic%20region." target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.naval-technology.com/news/dsei-2025-less-risk-for-norway-to-integrate-mewsic-on-type-26/?cf-view%23:~:text%3DJust%2520as%2520Norway,wider%2520Nordic%2520region.&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1vYO-3iEnbeU_dOkaz6TPy">carrying Israeli systems</a>, precisely to counter Russian naval and aerial pressure. The shared stock is broader still: <a href="https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-907334" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-907334&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Sas_CceX-mm7is-3z8x3B">interceptor</a> and <a href="https://breakingdefense.com/2026/09/israels-uvision-estonias-lendurai-to-integrate-systems-for-nato-military/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://breakingdefense.com/2026/09/israels-uvision-estonias-lendurai-to-integrate-systems-for-nato-military/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0WH-8ZvQitsQta-w8vL3YB">sensor families</a>, and parts pools that feed multiple NATO inventories.</p>
<p>In a circular firing squad, the danger is not only that you miss the person you meant to punish. It is that a slight misfire — in this case, a restriction that travels through the common pipeline of components and technology — could hit your ally. Europe depends on the same line it is starting to cut. Should Israel answer with reciprocal limits, the buyers would lose access to systems they have already judged necessary. Even without reciprocity, delays to Israel’s submarine and surface fleet weaken a navy that helps secure the Mediterranean sea lanes necessary for European energy imports.</p>
<p>For the United States, the friction is worse than ordinary disagreement between allies. NATO partners are actively complicating the readiness of Israel, a country with <a href="https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2023/11/06/the_case_for_upgrading_israels_major_non-nato_ally_status_990864.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2023/11/06/the_case_for_upgrading_israels_major_non-nato_ally_status_990864.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1z0t_3THZcW-CYMvCdLpCG">Major Non-NATO Ally</a> status and which the current administration has <a href="https://www.jpost.com/international/article-884380" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.jpost.com/international/article-884380&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0NWs_3avQFDhFb3MIu8qAz">called</a> a model ally. A visible circular firing squad inside the broader US alliance structure undercuts domestic support for those partnerships and signals to Russia and Iran that Western defense cooperation can be fractured from within.</p>
<p>Washington should warn against further steps that degrade Israeli readiness and should be prepared to attach costs if the warnings are ignored. As Denmark’s foreign minister has <a href="https://denmark.representation.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-i-dagens-aviser-tirsdag-den-14-juli-2026-2026-07-14_da#:~:text=We%20are%20friends%20of%20Israel.%20That%20applies%20to%20Denmark.%20That%20applies%20to%20Europe." target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://denmark.representation.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-i-dagens-aviser-tirsdag-den-14-juli-2026-2026-07-14_da%23:~:text%3DWe%2520are%2520friends%2520of%2520Israel.%2520That%2520applies%2520to%2520Denmark.%2520That%2520applies%2520to%2520Europe.&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1791349916737000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0L2J8NiTTBk8eCpu5-2zXS">framed</a> his own government’s measures targeting Israel, the correction would be for Europe’s own good.</p>
<p><em><strong>RADM Paul Becker, USN (ret.)</strong>, is former Director of Intelligence (J2) for the Joint Chiefs of Staff, a Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Generals and Admirals Program participant, and a member of JINSA’s Board of Advisors.</em></p>
<p><em><strong>Yoni Tobin</strong> is a senior policy analyst at JINSA. </em></p>
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<p><strong>Read the original piece in <a href="https://www.algemeiner.com/2026/10/08/aiming-israel-europe-hitting-own-defenses-circular-firing-squad/"><em>Algemeiner</em></a>.</strong></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/aiming-at-israel-europe-is-hitting-its-own-defenses-in-a-circular-firing-squad/">Aiming at Israel, Europe Is Hitting Its Own Defenses in a Circular Firing Squad</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>Unmanned Warfare Has Now Expanded to the High Seas. Is the U.S. Ready?</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/unmanned-warfare-has-now-expanded-to-the-high-seas-is-the-u-s-ready/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 07:35:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yoni Tobin]]></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Drone warfare is expanding from the skies to the seas, and the United States must be ready. The Russia-Ukraine war, which has become synonymous with aerial drone warfare, has now featured the first naval battle in history between unmanned boats,<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
<div class="read-more"><a href="https://jinsa.org/unmanned-warfare-has-now-expanded-to-the-high-seas-is-the-u-s-ready/">Read more &#8250;<!-- end of .read-more --></a></div>
<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/unmanned-warfare-has-now-expanded-to-the-high-seas-is-the-u-s-ready/">Unmanned Warfare Has Now Expanded to the High Seas. Is the U.S. Ready?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Drone warfare is expanding from the skies to the seas, and the United States must be ready. The Russia-Ukraine war, which has become synonymous with aerial drone warfare, has now <a href="https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-908542" target="_blank" rel="noopener">featured</a> the first naval battle in history between unmanned boats, according to the Ukrainian Navy. On September 14, a Ukrainian Sargan 300 drone boat fired at and sank a Russian unmanned surface vessel (USV) in the Black Sea — a <a href="https://www.escudodigital.com/en/defense/europe/ukraine-russia-drone-war-sea-first-reported-uncrewed-vessel-clash.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">significant milestone</a> in warfare’s rapid evolution.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Unmanned naval platforms are also startin​​g to see combat beyond the battlefield laboratory of eastern Europe. During the Iran war, in July, three American one-way attack USVs <a href="https://defensescoop.com/2026/07/13/corsair-maritime-drones-attack-iran/">struck</a> an Iranian submarine and naval facility — the first-ever U.S. use of USVs to strike enemy targets. Just weeks prior, a USV <a href="https://defensescoop.com/2026/06/09/autonomous-maritime-drone-rescues-apache-pilots-after-crash/">rescued</a> two U.S. Army pilots from nearby waters after an Iranian drone struck their helicopter.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Nor are recent U.S. unmanned successes confined to the Middle East. They have occurred right in America’s backyard. Reporting from Aug. 5 <a href="https://thedefensepost.com/2026/08/05/drone-us-navy-cocaine/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">indicated</a> that an American USV recently detected, tracked, and helped intercept a U.S.-bound narcotics shipment worth $81 million in the Caribbean Sea.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now, accelerated U.S. efforts, not complacency, are needed to build on this recent tactical success. Greater strategic imagination is the first step. The Pentagon needs to think bigger about unmanned military platforms — but also smaller. Thinking smaller means complementing high-end platforms with inexpensive, expendable ones. Thinking bigger means integrating them into a single network with manned assets and human warfighters. Today, the U.S. military does neither at scale.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The American military’s recent success with autonomous platforms — as well as the unmanned advances of partners like Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan — offers three main lessons for generating the Pentagon’s next unmanned leap forward.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">First, expendability has its own currency. Ukraine has achieved outsized battlefield effects with lower-end, expendable unmanned platforms — as have Iran and Russia. This is true for sea-based autonomous systems too. However, one-way attack USVs, like those American forces used against Iran, remain in short supply.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That shortfall stems from bureaucratic, not technological, reasons. The Pentagon applies the same rigid standards to unmanned, expendable platforms as to high-end, manned surface combatants. Yet overly rigorous testing and evaluation inhibits production at the pace which the battlefield demands.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Second, as the recent USV <a href="https://defensescoop.com/2026/06/09/autonomous-maritime-drone-rescues-apache-pilots-after-crash/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rescue</a> of U.S. aviators from the Arabian Gulf demonstrates, unmanned platforms offer more than strike or surveillance functions. In fact, those lower-tech functions may have greater upside involving less rigorous testing and faster deployment timetables.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Take, for example, the since-axed UCLASS program to build carrier-based surveillance-and-strike drones. Due to a lengthy requirements list, the project became unsustainable. That is subtraction by addition. Now, the Navy is developing the MQ-25 Stingray, an unmanned aerial refueler — a simpler platform meeting a more <a href="https://breakingdefense.com/2026/07/the-solution-to-the-tanker-problem-the-us-military-keeps-finding-in-pacific-wargames/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">fundamental need</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Unmanned platforms offer additional types of unconventional utility, like logistics resupply and forward basing. An Israeli firm is exploring turning commercial ships into camouflaged <a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/mideast-africa/2026/07/15/israeli-firm-wants-to-convert-commercial-ships-into-floating-drone-bases/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">floating drone bases</a>. Another has <a href="https://thedefensepost.com/2025/12/12/israel-heavy-lift-drone/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">developed</a> heavy-lift drones to move materiel to the battlefield. These concepts are relevant to a primary challenge America would face in a future Pacific war: contested logistics across a broad geographic area far from the homeland and near the enemy’s turf. Fortunately, unmanned systems could ease those logistical headaches by offering greater concealment, dispersal, and flexibility while preserving manpower.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Another potential evolution is now on the horizon: unmanned amphibious landings. A Ukrainian startup has a prototype for an autonomous amphibious vehicle, resembling a small truck. It can carry drones, travel underwater with a low radar profile, and drive onto enemy shores. The United States, by acquiring that capability, could facilitate a naval version of Operation Spiderweb, where Ukrainian drones hidden inside cargo trucks infiltrated Russia and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/02/operation-spiderweb-visual-guide-ukraine-drone-attack-russian-aircraft" target="_blank" rel="noopener">neutralized</a> strategic Russian bombers across the country.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Third, the Pentagon’s unmanned advances must be complementary, but currently are not. This is the “think bigger” half of the equation, and what makes the first two lessons pay off. Expendable autonomous mass, low-cost single-purpose platforms, and distributed unmanned hubs reach their potential only by working as a team. Recognizing this, Taiwan is <a href="https://news.usni.org/2026/06/24/taiwan-budget-calls-for-6-6b-for-attack-drones-unmanned-surface-vessels" target="_blank" rel="noopener">seeking</a> over 200,000 one-way attack drones and over 1,200 USVs, but also the <a href="https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/navy-news/2026/taiwan-moves-toward-autonomous-coastal-denial-network-with-shield-ai-hivemind-powered-thunder-tiger-sea-drones" target="_blank" rel="noopener">systems architecture</a> to link them together.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To prevail in a hypothetical Pacific war, American forces must have persistent adversary surveillance. Currently, that interconnectivity is lacking, impeding readiness. Surveillance drones cannot directly communicate with nearby submarines or USVs, nor fuse data into a common operating picture.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Linking autonomous platforms, manned assets, and human warfighters in a shared data mesh and command-and-control system would close those gaps. The U.S. military’s Combined Joint All-Domain Command and Control (CJADC2) aims to forge that very integration. Yet CJADC2 <a href="https://defensescoop.com/2026/05/28/dod-fy27-budget-cjadc2-maven-smart-system-palantir/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">remains limited</a> to “fragmented deployments,” according to the Pentagon. Fixing that is a critical next step.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Innovating in the unmanned domain will require the Pentagon to be more imaginative in how it acquires, tests, and links its manned and unmanned platforms. That requires thinking smaller, by acquiring more expendable unmanned systems, and thinking bigger, about operationalizing a joint-domain network. It also should involve Washington acquiring Israeli, Taiwanese, and Ukrainian unmanned technology, and expanding co-production with those U.S. partners at the cutting edge of warfare.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Successful adaptation also requires re-examining of how the Pentagon allocates resources. Currently, the Pentagon’s unmanned capabilities are constrained by cost overruns on large, manned surface combatants that are not well calibrated to today’s threat landscape. Studies <a href="https://csbaonline.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Taking_Back_the_Seas_WEB.pdf#page=29" target="_blank" rel="noopener">indicate</a> that guided-missile destroyers would be highly vulnerable in a Pacific war, and that <a href="https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/06/22/us-couldnt-repair-battle-damaged-ships-in-war-with-china-study-finds/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reliably fixing</a> and returning them to battle would be nearly impossible. Spending on these platforms, while important, represents a disproportionately large portion of the Navy’s budget — crowding out unmanned innovation and acquisition.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Pentagon’s recent unmanned successes show it is not completely outpaced by warfare’s rapid evolution. Yet this race is a marathon, not a sprint.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>Vice Admiral Michael Connor, USN (ret.)</em></strong><em> is former Commander of the U.S. Submarine Forces and a Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) Generals and Admirals Program participant. Vice Admiral Connor also previously served as director of the Pentagon’s Naval Warfare Integration Group.</em></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>Yoni Tobin </em></strong><em>is a senior policy analyst at JINSA.</em></p>
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<p><strong>Read the original piece in <a href="https://defensescoop.com/2026/10/07/unmanned-warfare-has-expanded-to-the-high-seas-is-the-us-ready/"><em>DefenseScoop</em></a>.</strong></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/unmanned-warfare-has-now-expanded-to-the-high-seas-is-the-u-s-ready/">Unmanned Warfare Has Now Expanded to the High Seas. Is the U.S. Ready?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>Watch Webinar &#8211; Three Years Since October 7: Reflections and the Threats Ahead</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/webinar-three-years-since-october-7/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 21:00:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jinsa-shavdala]]></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Click here to read a transcript. October 7, 2023, was without parallel in Israeli history. Invading Hamas forces indiscriminately killed more than 1,200 Israelis and kidnapped and wounded hundreds more. In the three years following the deadliest attack on Jews<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/webinar-three-years-since-october-7/">Watch Webinar &#8211; Three Years Since October 7: Reflections and the Threats Ahead</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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<p style="text-align: center"><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/zFCGMCE7HzU?si=6xQgrm9K6HJqfWdE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="https://jinsa.org/webinar-transcript-three-years-since-october-7/"><em><strong>Click here to read a transcript.</strong></em></a></p>
<p>October 7, 2023, was without parallel in Israeli history. Invading Hamas forces indiscriminately killed more than 1,200 Israelis and kidnapped and wounded hundreds more. In the three years following the deadliest attack on Jews since the Holocaust, Israel conducted major military operations across seven fronts that severely degraded Iran’s military and nuclear programs, as well as its proxies Hezbollah and Hamas. The United States and Israel also took bilateral security cooperation to new heights in the wake of October 7, culminating in unprecedented joint operations against Iran earlier this year.</p>
<p>An eighth front has also arisen behind these military successes, as Israel’s enemies have spearheaded a global information warfare campaign—one that often blends into antisemitism and, at times, violence against Jews worldwide. Some critics have even alleged that Israel tried to commit genocide in Gaza , a claim which over 75 retired U.S. military leaders forcefully reject in a <a href="https://jinsa.org/open-letter-from-military-professionals-refuting-genocide-allegations-against-israel/">newly released JINSA letter.</a></p>
<p>To reflect on October 7 and its consequences, JINSA hosted a webinar with several leading experts to discuss the tragic attack, the multifront war that followed, and the future of the region, Israel’s self-defense, and its partnership with the United States.</p>
<p>The webinar featured JINSA Distinguished Fellow IDF MG (ret.) <a href="https://jinsa.org/person/idf-major-general-ret-yaakov-amidror/">Yaakov Amidror</a>, former head of Israel&#8217;s National Security Council; JINSA Distinguished Fellow IDF MG (ret.) <a href="https://jinsa.org/person/amikam-norkin/">IDF MG (ret.) Amikam Norkin</a>, former Commander of the Israeli Air Force; <a href="https://www.urbanwarfareinstitute.com/john-spencer">MAJ John Spencer</a>, USA (ret.), Executive Director of the Urban Warfare Institute; and JINSA Randi &amp; Charles Wax Senior Fellow <a href="https://jinsa.org/person/john-hannah/">John Hannah</a>.</p>
<p>The discussion was moderated by JINSA President and CEO <a href="https://jinsa.org/person/dr-michael-makovsky/">Michael Makovsky, PhD</a>.</p>
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<p style="font-size: 24px"><strong>IDF MG (ret.) Yaakov Amidror</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 20px">IDF MG (ret.) Yaakov Amidror is a Distinguished Fellow at JINSA. Prior to joining JINSA, MG Amidror was the National Security Advisor to the Prime Minister of Israel, as well as the head of Israel&#8217;s National Security Council. Among other distinguished postings, MG Amidror also served as Director of Israel&#8217;s Intelligence Analysis Division.</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><u><a href="https://jinsa.org/person/idf-major-general-ret-yaakov-amidror/">Click here to read full bio</a></u></p>
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<tr><td><img loading="lazy" class="alignleft wp-image-10057 size-medium" style="margin-left: 50px" src="https://jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Norkin-Headshot-562x380.png" alt="" width="300" height="400"></p>
<p style="font-size: 24px"><strong>IDF MG (ret.) Amikam Norkin</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 20px">IDF MG (ret.) Yaakov Amidror is a Distinguished Fellow at JINSA. Prior to joining JINSA, MG Amidror was the National Security Advisor to the Prime Minister of Israel, as well as the head of Israel&#8217;s National Security Council. Among other distinguished postings, MG Amidror also served as Director of Israel&#8217;s Intelligence Analysis Division.</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><u><a href="https://jinsa.org/person/amikam-norkin/">Click here to read full bio</a></u></p>
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<p style="font-size: 24px"><strong>MAJ John Spencer, USA (ret.)</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 20px">MAJ John Spencer, USA (ret.) is the Executive Director of the Urban Warfare Institute. He he served as an advisor to the top four-star general and other senior leaders in the U.S. Army as part of strategic research groups from the Pentagon to the United States Military Academy.</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><u><a href="https://www.urbanwarfareinstitute.com/john-spencer">Click here to read full bio</a></u></p>
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<tr><td><img loading="lazy" class="alignleft wp-image-13290 size-medium" style="margin-left: 50px" src="https://jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/JohnHannah-300x300.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="100"></p>
<p style="font-size: 24px"><strong>John Hannah</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 20px">John Hannah is the Randi &amp; Charles Wax Senior Fellow at JINSA. Hannah served in a range of U.S. government positions, including National Security Advisor to the U.S. Vice President and Senior Advisor to the U.S. Secretary of State.</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><u><a href="https://jinsa.org/person/john-hannah/">Click here to read full bio</a></u></p>
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<p style="font-size: 24px"><strong>Michael Makovsky, PhD</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 20px">Michael Makovsky, PhD, is President and CEO of JINSA. Makovsky is a former senior Pentagon official and is a leading policy expert on U.S.-Israel defense ties, U.S. Middle East policy, and the role of energy in U.S. national security policy.</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><u><a href="https://jinsa.org/person/dr-michael-makovsky/">Click here to read full bio</a></u></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/webinar-three-years-since-october-7/">Watch Webinar &#8211; Three Years Since October 7: Reflections and the Threats Ahead</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>PRESS RELEASE: 75+ U.S. Military Leaders Reject Gaza Genocide Claims</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/press-release-retired-u-s-military-leaders-and-legal-experts-reject-genocide-allegations-against-israel/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 11:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yoni Tobin]]></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 7, 2026 Contact: Blake Johnson bjohnson@jinsa.org Retired U.S. Military Leaders and Legal Experts Reject Genocide Allegations Against Israel Washington, DC – On the third anniversary of Hamas’s October 7, 2023, massacre, a group of over 75<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/press-release-retired-u-s-military-leaders-and-legal-experts-reject-genocide-allegations-against-israel/">PRESS RELEASE: 75+ U.S. Military Leaders Reject Gaza Genocide Claims</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE</strong><br />
October 7, 2026<br />
Contact: Blake Johnson<br />
bjohnson@jinsa.org</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><strong>Retired U.S. Military Leaders and Legal Experts Reject Genocide Allegations Against Israel</strong></p>
<p><em>Washington, DC</em> – On the third anniversary of Hamas’s October 7, 2023, massacre, a group of over 75 senior retired U.S. military leaders and legal experts today issued an <a href="https://url.us.m.mimecastprotect.com/s/bCyBC68xzpCLR0nCpf71s5Fz6M">open letter</a>, organized by the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, rejecting allegations that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, concluding that the allegation is unsupported by the facts and does not meet the definition of genocide.</p>
<p>The signatories, including those who have commanded U.S. armed forces in combat, emphasize that the standards used to judge military conduct matter precisely because war is tragic and imperfect. Lowering the standard for what constitutes genocide, they warn, could create dangerous incentives for adversaries to embed themselves among civilians, exploit resulting casualties, and characterize lawful military operations as genocide.</p>
<p>The precedent established today will shape the conditions under which American forces fight tomorrow.</p>
<p>“Accusing Israel of genocide in Gaza is obscene,” said JINSA President and CEO <strong>Michael Makovsky</strong>. “It egregiously distorts the truth, the facts, and the law. These senior U.S. military commanders and lawyers, who understand the realities of war and the unprecedented steps Israel has taken to avoid civilian casualties, have stepped forward to correct the record. I hope those who are fair-minded will take heed.”</p>
<p>Genocide is an exceptionally grave crime requiring evidence of an intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a protected national, ethnic, racial, or religious group. Civilian casualties, however tragic, do not by themselves establish genocidal intent. Based on their professional experience and assessment of Israeli military operations, the signatories conclude that Israel has neither intended to destroy Palestinians as a group nor conducted its campaign in a manner consistent with such an intent.</p>
<p>The extensive measures taken by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to protect civilians while fighting Hamas, included advance warnings, evacuation instructions, protected corridors, tactical pauses, stringent legal review of targets, and repeated decisions to cancel strikes because of the presence of civilians. These precautions have at times required Israeli forces to surrender tactical advantages and expose their own personnel to greater risk.</p>
<p>The signatories do not minimize the suffering of civilians in Gaza. They draw instead on their own experience commanding American forces pointing out that, “There is no perfect attack; there are only those in which commanders use all available information to make hard decisions and their best judgement to comply with legal obligations and protect civilians.”</p>
<p>The letter also distinguishes inflammatory statements by Israeli political officials, which the signatories condemn, from the conduct of the IDF itself. Political rhetoric, they argue, cannot substitute for evidence of genocidal intent in the conduct of military operations.</p>
<p>The signatories call on those making allegations of genocide to apply the Genocide Convention faithfully and to distinguish between the tragic consequences of combat, potential violations of the laws of armed conflict, and the specific crime of genocide.</p>
<p>Misapplying that standard risks rewarding adversaries who deliberately endanger civilians and undermining the ability of the United States and its allies to defend themselves.</p>
<p>The letter concludes: “Protecting civilians and preserving the ability of our nation to defend itself requires us to defend the truth when the laws of war are being distorted to make false charges of genocide.”</p>
<p><a href="https://jinsa.org/open-letter-from-military-professionals-refuting-genocide-allegations-against-israel/"><strong>Read the Open Letter</strong></a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/press-release-retired-u-s-military-leaders-and-legal-experts-reject-genocide-allegations-against-israel/">PRESS RELEASE: 75+ U.S. Military Leaders Reject Gaza Genocide Claims</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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		<title>How to Keep the Houthis Out of the Red Sea</title>
		<link>https://jinsa.org/how-to-keep-the-houthis-out-of-the-red-sea/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 08:41:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yoni Tobin]]></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>The war for the world’s key maritime chokepoints now has a second front. Reportedly with Iranian assistance, Houthi forces staged a 48-hour offensive on September 10-11, seizing further stretches of Red Sea coastline and the Hanish and Perim islands. When<span class="ellipsis">&#8230;</span></p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The war for the world’s key maritime chokepoints now has a second front. Reportedly with <a href="https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthis-iran-war-red-sea-battle-e32ed78eb9b528642d043d4303192927">Iranian assistance</a>, <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/houthis">Houthi</a> forces staged a <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/10/middleeast/houthis-capture-mocha-red-sea-strait-intl">48-hour offensive</a> on September 10-11, seizing further stretches of <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/red-sea">Red Sea</a> coastline and the Hanish and Perim islands. When the dust settled, the Iranian axis had gained effective control over another vital maritime chokepoint—the <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/bab-el-mandeb">Bab el-Mandeb Strait</a>, through which <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/07/21/yemen-saudi-houthis-attack-shipping-red-sea/07803534-8537-11f1-9cec-0fb26676f07e_story.html">25 percent</a> of global container traffic passes in peacetime—without a clear U.S. response as yet.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yet more is at stake than <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/yemen">Yemen</a>’s internal dynamics, regional tensions, or global energy prices. The Iranian regime’s ongoing efforts to hold hostage the <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/strait-of-hormuz">Strait of Hormuz</a>, and the Houthis’ seizure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, are fundamental challenges to the global freedom of navigation that the United States has upheld for over two centuries.</p>
<p>In 1785, then-ambassador to France Thomas Jefferson argued that forceful U.S. action is <a href="https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/01-08-02-0325">necessary</a> “if we wish our commerce to be free.” That is why, as president, he dispatched the U.S. Navy against the Barbary pirates in modern Libya.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Since that war, upholding freedom of navigation has been a core U.S. strategic pillar. The 2025 US National Security Strategy (<a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/national-security-strategy">NSS</a>), like its predecessors, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf">noted</a> the continued American objective of “preserving freedom of navigation in all crucial sea lanes.” Ever since presidential administrations began issuing the strategy document in 1987, 16 of the 20 total NSS papers have reaffirmed this principle. Threats to international waterways have been one of the most common causes of US military action in recent decades, including against Libya in 1981 and 1986; <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/iran">Iran</a> in 1988; and the Houthis themselves in 2025.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Houthi threat to global shipping expanded dramatically overnight, threatening the credibility of that U.S. maritime security commitment. The Houthis no longer need drones or missiles, which they used in hundreds of attacks on ships between 2023 and 2025, to <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/how-yemens-houthis-went-small-mountain-militia-big-regional-threat-2026-09-17/">threaten</a> Red Sea shipping credibly. Given the Houthi forces’ footholds along the narrow Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint, protecting shipping will be even harder, since the group can now attack with closer-range weaponry such as artillery, rockets, and heavy machine guns. Economic impacts were immediate, as crude prices <a href="https://www.ynetnews.com/article/s1ujjjlyml">spiked</a> above $100 per barrel.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The implications of the Houthis’ newfound effective control of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait stretch far beyond the Middle East. The Iranian-led “<a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/axis-of-resistance">Axis of Resistance</a>” is now cementing its grip on two of the world’s <a href="https://www.bakerinstitute.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/20260316-Maritime%20Chokepoints.pdf#page=5">five</a> most-trafficked energy trade chokepoints. Importantly, those two nearby chokepoints sit along critical intercontinental energy sea routes. Threats to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait force ships to reroute around Africa. For a container ship on an Asia-Europe route, this diversion would <a href="https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20240119-red-sea-crisis-how-global-shipping-is-being-rerouted-out-of-danger">add</a> 10–12 days to the voyage, and an <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/red-sea-shipping-workarounds-add-costs-delays-suppliers-retailers-2023-12-28/">estimated $1 million</a> in fuel costs per round trip.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Moreover, left unchecked, this development could have cascading effects globally. Middle East chokepoints could be the first dominoes to fall as hostile actors test America’s open-seas commitment elsewhere. Days after the recent Houthi offensive, Chinese vessels <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/us-watching-chinese-marine-presence-off-alaska-arctic-coast-guard-chief-says-2026-09-21/">were seen</a> at the Bering Strait chokepoint linking the Arctic and Pacific oceans—where <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/china">China</a> and <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/russia">Russia</a> have held joint drills and patrols. In addition, Russia’s ongoing Black Sea aggression <a href="https://warontherocks.com/could-russia-follow-the-hormuz-playbook-in-the-baltic-and-black-seas/">underscores its threat</a> to the nearby Danish and Turkish Straits chokepoints, and the South China Sea’s eight key chokepoints <a href="https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2026-07/260701_Hart_Troubled%20Straits.pdf?VersionId=jIF_SnuovOIgNo87lPJl4JoAzihoj09d">remain vulnerable</a> to Chinese coercion.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">While the <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/united-states">United States</a> is reportedly pursuing <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-officials-met-iran-backed-houthis-oman-over-weekend-sources-say-2026-09-16/">diplomacy</a> with the Houthis, past diplomatic efforts did not deter the Houthis, and are even less likely to succeed now given the Houthis’ newly expanded territory. Houthi forces <a href="https://thearabweekly.com/houthis-violate-stockholm-pact-expand-hodeidah">violated</a> the 2018 Stockholm Agreement requiring their withdrawal from Hodeidah, which is <a href="https://www.ynetnews.com/article/ryjoqjpogx">still</a> a key Houthi operations hub. Saudi-backed Yemeni forces reportedly <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw8rzd6lp0xpo">recaptured</a> the port of Mokha on October 5, which the Houthis had seized earlier this month.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The soundest approach is a U.S.-led coalition that protects global shipping and removes the Houthi threat. The United States has an unparalleled coalition-building ability, and dozens of U.S. partners—chiefly hydrocarbon exporters in the Middle East and importers in Europe and Asia—have strong interests in securing the two chokepoints. France recently <a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2026/09/25/france-to-send-military-to-protect-saudi-arabia-on-red-sea-oil-route-macron-says/">sent</a> troops, air defenses, and radars to protect Saudi Arabia from Houthi aggression, and the British government has agreed to conduct <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/world/united-kingdom/uk-offer-saudi-arabia-aerial-refueling-counter-houthi-attacks-rcna599103">air-to-air refueling</a> of Saudi jets. In a May summit, 40 nations <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/news/joint-statement-on-the-multinational-military-mission-for-the-strait-of-hormuz-12-may-2026?utm_source=chatgpt.com">signaled</a> a desire to protect shipping, without detailing how.</p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A robust U.S.-led multilateral force would boost America’s credibility as a reliable security guarantor for its partners. Conversely, Washington staying on the sidelines would erode the confidence of friendly Arab countries, primarily an uneasy <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/tags/saudi-arabia">Saudi Arabia</a>, the main target of Houthi attacks. It would also further embolden Iran and its proxies.</p>
<p>The United States has a narrow window to restore the credibility of its freedom-of-navigation commitment. Fortunately, its partners can help. Strength comes from numbers and concrete displays of U.S. leadership.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>Lt Gen Thomas Bergeson</em></strong><em><strong>, USAF (ret.)</strong>, is the former deputy commander of U.S. Central Command. He oversaw military security cooperation and combat operations within the Arabian Peninsula, Northern Red Sea, Arabian Gulf, and Central and Southern Asian States. Before that assignment, Lt. Gen. Bergeson served as deputy commander, United Nations Command Korea. He has flown combat sorties in multiple operations.</em></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>LTG Karen Gibson</em></strong><em><strong>, USA (ret.)</strong>, is the former U.S. Deputy Director of National Intelligence for National Security Partnerships. Lt. Gen. Gibson has worked as a public servant for 37 years, first as an active-duty U.S. Army intelligence officer for 33 years, where she attained the rank of Lieutenant General, then as Sergeant at Arms of the U.S. Senate for an additional four years.</em></p>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>LtGen Sam Mundy</em></strong><em><strong>, USMC (ret.)</strong>, is the former commander of U.S. Marine Forces Central Command. He currently serves as President of Once a Marine LLC. He previously commanded Marine Corps Forces, Special Operations Command. From 2011 to 2013, he also served as the Executive Officer to the USCENTCOM Commander, traveling with him throughout the Gulf, Levant, and Central and South Asia.</em></p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong><em>MajGen Robert Sofge</em></strong><em><strong>, USMC (ret.)</strong>, is the former commander of United States Marine Corps Forces, Europe and Africa. As a general officer, he also served as director for strategy, plans, and policy (UCJ5), United Nations Command/Combined Forces Command/US Forces Korea; deputy commander for Marine Forces Pacific in Hawaii; and director of the combined joint operations center in Baghdad, Iraq. </em></p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>All authors participated in the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) Generals and Admirals Program.</em></p>
<p><strong>Read the original piece in <a href="https://nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-east-watch/how-to-keep-the-houthis-out-of-the-red-sea"><em>The National Interest</em></a>.</strong></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://jinsa.org/how-to-keep-the-houthis-out-of-the-red-sea/">How to Keep the Houthis Out of the Red Sea</a> appeared first on <a href="https://jinsa.org">JINSA</a>.</p>
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