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INFOGRAPHIC: The Iran MOU: Did the U.S. Understand the Assignment?

Jonah Brody — Thu, 18 Jun 2026 16:28:13 +0000

Click here to download the infographic

The U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding (MOU) reached on June 14 is a bad deal for the United States—just ask President Donald Trump. The agreement falls short of President Trump’s own benchmarks for a successful deal and a satisfactory outcome to the war. And, in some ways, the MOU is even weaker than President Barack Obama’s 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which Trump lambasted as “disastrous.”

The MOU does not, as President Trump promised, prevent a nuclear Iran, as it has no restrictions on Iran’s uranium enrichment, let alone a requirement for the removal of its enriched uranium stockpiles or dismantlement of its nuclear facilities. Instead, this new deal authorizes the transfer of far more money and lifts many more sanctions on Iran than the JCPOA ever did.

Like the JCPOA, however, the MOU does not address Iran’s missile or proxy programs. Worse, instead of limiting Iran’s ability to project power, Trump’s MOU restricts how and where the United States and Israel can use and deploy their militaries—ceding key leverage even as talks continue.

JINSA has compiled the below infographic highlighting how the U.S.-Iran MOU stacks up against the Trump administration’s criteria for a successful deal.

For a higher-resolution version, please click here.

Please see below a plain-text version. To download or print, click here.

The Iran MOU: Did the U.S. Understand the Assignment?
Topic	Trump’s War Aims	Trump’s Deal Aims	MOU	JCPOA (2015)
Nuclear	“Can never obtain a nuclear weapon”	“Will not allow in any way, shape, or form nuclear weapons” “No enrichment” “Enriched material … will be unearthed … and destroyed”	Iran commits to “never produce nuclear weapons” + preserve nuclear status quo until final deal U.S. + Iran to “resolve the disposition” of uranium via mutually agreed mechanism, at minimum downblending Future enrichment left to next round of talks No mention of inspections; IAEA resolutions terminated	Iran commits to never “develop or acquire any nuclear weapons” Iran must reduce HEU stockpile + dismantle majority of centrifuges Iran can enrich uranium within set parameters + subject to inspections
Missiles	“Destroying Iran’s missile capabilities”	Not mentioned	Not mentioned Trump: “if other countries have [missiles], it’s a little bit unfair for [Iran] not to have some”	Not mentioned
Lebanon	N/A	“In no way subject to Lebanon”	Directly ties Iran + Lebanon fronts; forbids Israel from striking Hezbollah	N/A
Proxy Support	“Cannot continue to arm, fund, + direct terrorist armies”	Not mentioned	Not mentioned	Not mentioned
Conventional	“Annihilating their navy”	Not mentioned	No U.S. strikes on Iran or proxies in future + U.S. agrees to remove forces from areas near Iran	Not mentioned
Regime	“Take over your government. It will be yours to take.”	Not mentioned	U.S. commits to not interfere in Iran’s internal affairs	Not mentioned
Sanctions Relief	N/A	“Unlike Obama’s payments … no money will exchange hands”	U.S. + partners give Iran $300bn Lifts “all” U.S. + UN sanctions Due to sanctions relief, Iran gains access to est. $120–160bn in unfrozen funds + est. $70bn/yr in energy exports	U.S. conditionally lifts most sanctions Iran gets $1.7bn from U.S. (not part of JCPOA text) Iran gains access to est. $50–100bn in unfrozen funds

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INFOGRAPHIC: What’s the Deal With The Deal?

Nolan Judd — Fri, 12 Jun 2026 19:50:30 +0000

The United States and Iran have reached a “final, agreed-upon text” of a deal, according to a June 12 statement from the leader of Pakistan, who is mediating the talks. What is not yet known is what that text contains. President Donald Trump claimed on June 11 that the deal’s “final points have been, in both concept and great detail, approved by all parties.”

However, sources claiming to be knowledgeable about the deal have apparently leaked purported parts of it to various U.S., Israeli, and Iranian media. It is not known how accurate these various claims are. Indeed, some of the reported elements of the deal vary greatly depending on the source. And President Donald Trump stated that Iranian claims about the deal’s content have “no relation to the truth.”

Yet, all reporting, as well as U.S. officials’ public statements, converge on one theme: the deal involves major concessions to the Iranian regime.

Reportedly, the United States will be lifting all sanctions and asset freezes on Iran; ending the blockade on Iran’s ports; and removing U.S. military assets from the region. Vice President J.D. Vance said if Iran’s leaders abide by the deal, “economic benefits will flow to them.” At the same time, some reporting indicates the deal commits America to not striking Iran again, under any circumstances, and also shields Hezbollah from Israeli operations.

In exchange, Iran will pledge to roll back its nuclear program and threats to commercial shipping—but most relevant details have been punted to a second round of talks, according to media reports. Little or no action, it seems, will be taken on Iran’s drone and missile programs; internal repression; and world-leading terror financing.

JINSA has compiled the below infographic detailing the different accounts of the deal now taking shape.

Official Statements
Claims by President Donald Trump	“The terms that Iran leaked out to the Fake News have NOTHING to do with the terms that were agreed to, in writing. What they said, including their weak and pathetic statement on having a deal, bears no relation to the truth.”
Claims by Vice President JD Vance	“I’m seeing a lot of fake information about a potential deal to reopen the Strait and end Iran’s nuclear weapons program. First, the Iranians are not receiving any cash, and no funds are being released for simply signing a deal or attending a meeting. The deal is structured to ensure that the U.S. and its allies’ concerns are prioritized, and that if the Islamic Republic of Iran meets its obligations, then economic benefits will flow to them and to the entire region.”
White House Background Call	The deal includes “highly enriched material destroyed and taken away from [Iran] … a long-term commitment from Iran that they will not procure or build a nuclear weapon … an inspection regime that ensures Iran doesn’t rebuild their nuclear capacity many years down the road. … [and] a broader peace, both an end to this particular conflict but also assurances that Iran would not be funding terrorist networks and so forth.”

Media Reporting on the Iran Deal
Topic	Mehr News (Iranian regime media)	CNN (citing U.S. official)	Axios (citing U.S. officials + Arab mediators + Mehr News)	Israel Hayom (citing U.S. + Arab officials)	Fox News (citing U.S. official)
Nuclear Program: Existing Materials & Facilities	Unclear	Iran commits to destroying or removing all nuclear material	Iran agrees to take measures regarding its enriched uranium Still unresolved: Specific next steps on uranium; Possible downblending under UN supervision	Iran agrees to forfeit all uranium over 3.75% purity (unclear to whom)	Iran commits to destroying or removing all nuclear material
Nuclear Program: Future Enrichment + Weaponization	Iran commits to not pursue nuclear weapon	Iran commits to not pursue nuclear weapon	Iran commits to not pursuing nuclear weapon	Iran agrees to forgo enrichment in future ( disputed by Iran)* Iran commits to not pursue nuclear weapon	Iran commits to ending nuclear program
Strait of Hormuz	U.S. lifts naval blockade within 30 days Reopening of Strait under Iranian oversight	Strait of Hormuz comes under full Iranian control Iran agrees not to charge transit fees or interfere with commercial shipping	Iran agrees to: Reopen the Strait within 30 days without charging shipping fees U.S. agrees to: Lift maritime blockade on Iranian ports	Iran commits to: Permit full and unrestricted reopening of Strait Provide information on mines it laid and possible mine removal	Iran commits to: Permit full and unrestricted reopening of Strait
Lebanon	Immediate ceasefire in Lebanon	Full Lebanon ceasefire	U.S. + Iran agree to: Extend ceasefire 60 days, including pausing hostilities in Lebanon	Both sides agree to discuss in next round of talks	Unclear
Missiles + Proxies	Iran’s missile program + proxy support excluded	Unclear	Unclear	Both sides agree to discuss in next round of talks	Iran commits to stop all proxy funding
Funding + Sanctions Relief	U.S. commits to: Lift oil and petrochemical sanctions; Provide $300bn to Iran’s economy; Release $24bn in frozen assets, including $12bn upfront; Lift U.S., UN, and IAEA sanctions	U.S. agrees to release funds based on Iranian compliance	U.S. + Iran agree to: Mechanism for accessing frozen Iranian funds in Qatar for humanitarian purposes U.S. agrees to: Grant Iran 60-day sanction waiver to sell oil; Increase sanctions relief in exchange for Iranian compliance Still under discussion: Iran receives some frozen assets upon signing (Iranian demand); U.S. releases frozen assets in tranches dependent on compliance	U.S. agrees to: Release $12–15bn to Iran for humanitarian purposes in installments under Qatari supervision	U.S. agrees to release funds based on Iranian compliance
Military Activities	U.S. commits to: Withdraw forces from Iran’s vicinity; Respect Iranian sovereignty and noninterference	Unclear	Unclear	U.S. + Iran agree not to: Conduct further military action against each other or regional countries U.S. agrees to: Withdraw all warships from areas near Iran; End maritime blockade within 30 days	Unclear
Further Negotiations	60-day negotiating period; Creation of implementation monitoring mechanism; No new U.S. deployments or sanctions; Final talks conditioned on sanctions relief, asset releases, and lifted blockade	Both sides agree to discuss in next round: Next steps on Iran’s nuclear program; Sanctions relief	U.S. + Iran agree to: Address Iran’s nuclear program in future talks	Both sides agree to discuss in next round: Possible withdrawal of U.S. forces from Gulf; Future management of the Strait of Hormuz; Iran’s missile program; Iran’s proxy support; Situation in Lebanon Timetable still under discussion: Talks begin within 14 days (U.S. demand) or within 60 days (Iranian demand)	Unclear

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INFOGRAPHIC: Operation Epic Fury—What is the Aim Point?

Nolan Judd — Fri, 13 Mar 2026 17:34:54 +0000

At its outset, President Donald Trump set clear goals for Operation Epic Fury: 1) Eliminate the Iranian regime’s military and nuclear capabilities, and 2) Ultimately enable the Iranian people to replace the Islamic Republic with their own government.

Succeeding statements from administration officials have focused on various parts of this strategy, but often without reinforcing the underlying objective of collapsing the regime, as JINSA recommends.

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INFOGRAPHIC: U.S. Offensive Force Posture Before Operation Epic Fury

Nolan Judd — Mon, 02 Mar 2026 19:39:23 +0000

At its outset, the joint U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran’s regime is entirely different than past rounds of conflict in terms of objectives, operations, and Iranian responses.

The expansive goals dictated by President Trump at the beginning of operations are made possible by a significant force buildup in the region in the preceding weeks, including the first-ever operational deployment of American F-22 fighters at Israel’s Ovda Air Base in the Negev–fulfilling a JINSA recommendation to take advantage of the base’s strategic geography outside the bulk of Iran’s missile threat.

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INFOGRAPHIC: Iran Nuclear Talks: What is Even the Point?

Nolan Judd — Thu, 12 Feb 2026 20:28:53 +0000

The United States is playing Iran’s game yet again, despite the regime being weaker than ever before. Conflicting and vague demands embolden Tehran to drag out diplomacy, erode U.S. credibility, and advance its military and nuclear programs, gaining room to recover from grave internal and external threats while the United States loses valuable time and leverage. Similar ambiguity in last spring’s nuclear talks encouraged Iranian leadership to stonewall U.S. negotiators and advance its nuclear and missile programs.

The only way to win this game is not to play. JINSA recommends pursuing regime collapse in Iran and avoiding talks. Read our recommendations here.

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INFOGRAPHIC: U.S. “Red Line” on Iran Protests

Nolan Judd — Fri, 16 Jan 2026 17:50:05 +0000

Millions of Iranians have taken to the streets, risking their lives to demand a change from the their decades-long mistreatment at the hands of an authoritarian, nasty, brutal, and corrupt regime. As the Islamic Republic fought to cling to power by imprisoning, beating, and murdering the protestors, President Donald Trump—unlike his predecessors—laudably supported the protesters, promised them assistance, and drew a clear red line against further regime violence.

The Islamic Republic has now repeatedly crossed that red line, raising questions about whether the United States will uphold it or allow the regime to continue its crackdown against the Iranian people with impunity.

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Gaza Ceasefire Violations and Hostages Remaining Trackers

jinsa-shavdala — Mon, 05 Jan 2026 07:15:13 +0000

Since Israel and Hamas agreed to the U.S.-brokered ceasefire in October 2025, Hamas terrorists have frequently violated the terms of the agreement. By continuing to hold hostage bodies captive, crossing the Israeli-controlled Yellow Line in the Gaza Strip, and ambushing Israeli troops, Hamas and other Palestinian terrorist groups continue to endanger President Donald Trump’s peace plan.

As the United States, Israel, and partners pursue stability in Gaza, JINSA is tracking ceasefire violations and remaining hostages through regularly updated charts.

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INFOGRAPHIC: Syria’s Progress on Key U.S. Demands

Nolan Judd — Mon, 03 Nov 2025 14:10:19 +0000

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INFOGRAPHIC: European Embargoes and Punitive Actions Targeting Israel’s Defense

Nolan Judd — Mon, 20 Oct 2025 14:29:27 +0000

In the two years since Hamas’s October 2023 massacre, a growing number of U.S. allies have imposed or expanded punitive measures against Israel—ranging from arms embargoes and export suspensions to financial divestments and academic bans. These restrictions may be politically convenient, but they punish a democratic partner defending itself against a terrorist organization bent on the eradication of the Jewish state. Some of these restrictions could have a real impact on Israel’s ability to sustain its military readiness, potentially emboldening Israel’s enemies, eroding Israel’s deterrence, and undermining the U.S. peace plan and ceasefire that went into effect on October 8.

These embargoes and punitive measures should never have been put in place. And now that the ceasefire is in place, they must be lifted. JINSA is releasing the below infographic documenting these harmful embargoes and punitive measure and will be tracking their statuses going forward.

Rather than isolating Israel, transatlantic leaders should reaffirm its right to self-defense, reject politicized embargoes, and deepen defense industrial collaboration. The same governments rightly supporting Ukraine’s defense against Russia should not deny Israel the means to defend itself against terrorism. Maintaining arms restrictions on Israel undermines the very principles—rule of law, democracy, and collective defense—that Europe and the United States claim to champion. It also weakens Western collective security. Not only does it drive a wedge between the United States and its European partners but it undercuts Europe’s own security. Israel’s technological innovations—including in missile defense and counter-drone warfare—can bolster European defenses at a time when its adversaries—China, Russia, and Iran—are coordinating more closely than ever.

Lifting these measures would send a clear message: that Western democracies will not allow legal distortions or propaganda campaigns to weaken an ally’s ability to survive. Israel’s security is not only an Israeli interest—it is a Western one. With the October 8 ceasefire now in place, ensuring Israel retains the military capabilities to deter Hamas from restarting hostilities and Iran from rebuilding its nuclear and missile programs is critical to sustaining lasting peace. The United States should demand that its allies move swiftly to restore their defense and dual-use exports to Israel.

Updated: 2/1/2026

Active

One-off Action

Under Review

Revoked

Restrictions on Arms Exports to Israel
	Country	Date / Instrument	Action Type	Details	Affected Goods / Sector	Category	Status
	Belgium	February 2024 – Walloon Region	License Suspension	Temporary suspension of two ammunition export licenses citing ICJ order and Gaza humanitarian situation.	Small arms ammunition	Embargo	Active
	Belgium	July 2025 – Brussels Court	Transit Ban	Court ordered the Flemish government to halt arms shipments to Israel via Port of Antwerp. Imposed €50,000 fine for each violation.	Tank and armored vehicle components; Dual-use materials; general military cargo in transit	Embargo	Active
	Belgium	October 2025 – Federal Government	Embargo Expansion	Foreign Minister announced agreement implementing a proposed September package: ban on all arms transit, coverage extends to dual-use items with military end-user, and applies to any military equipment destined for use by Israel, incl. armed groups/private militias; frames as closing loopholes and updating 2009 commitments.	All military equipment; dual-use (military end-user); transit	Embargo	Active
	Belgium	January 2026 – Federal Government	Embargo Expansion	Foreign Minister announced all aircraft, foreign or domestic, carrying weapons and military equipment to Israel are banned from using the country’s airspace or making technical stops.	All military equipment; dual-use (military end-user); transit	Embargo	Active
No recent procurement. Last order: Spike-MR anti-tank missiles (240 units), 2013.
	Canada	January 2024 – Government Resolution	License Suspension	Suspended approval for new arms exports to Israel; Honored shipments to Israel on deals signed prior to January decision.	Dual-use/defense exports	Partial Suspension	Active
No recent procurement. Last order: M-2022 maritime patrol radars (16 units), 2017.
	Croatia	August 2025 – Presidential Declaration	Political Statement	President Zoran Milanović called for the cessation of all trade in weapons and military equipment.	General arms	Symbolic	One-off
Spike-MR ($12.3M), 2023 — total $12.3M.
	France	October 2024 – Presidential Declaration	Political Statement	President Emmanuel Macron called for halting all weapons deliveries to Israel amid Gaza/ Lebanon escalation.	General arms	Symbolic	One-off
	France	June 2025 – Marseille Port Blockade	Shipment Block	Dockworkers refused to load crates of ammunition links (Eurolinks) for a ship destined for Israel.	Ammunition belts/links	Symbolic	One-off
	France	June 2025 – Paris Air Show Directive	Political Suspension	Government ordered closure of Israeli defense industry pavilion for refusing to remove “offensive” weapons.	Defense exhibitions	Symbolic	One-off
No recent procurement. Last order: Heron UAV (1 unit), 2009.
	Germany	August 2025 – Chancellor Statement	License Freeze	Halted exports that could be used in Gaza; affected radar, vehicles, and drones. Revoked on 11/17/2025 via government decision.	Ground vehicles, surveillance, radar	Partial Suspension	Revoked
	Germany	December 2025 – Lufthansa Cargo Embargo	Transit Ban	Lufthansa Cargo, a subsidiary of Germany’s flag carrier Lufthansa, announced it would no longer transport military or security-related cargo destined for Israel. Flights resumed 12/17/2025	Military and security-related cargo	Embargo	Revoked
Arrow-3 ($6.7B), Spike-LR2 ($2.3B), PULS ($57M), 2023–2026 — total $9.1B.
	Italy	March 2024 – Government Policy	License Suspension	Announced suspension of all new arms export licenses to Israel since Oct 7, 2023. Honored shipments to Israel on deals signed prior to Gaza War.	Helicopters, maintenance parts, ammunition	Partial Suspension	Active
	Italy	September 2025 – Ravenna Port Blockade	Shipment Block	Denied transit of explosives bound for Haifa; action backed by regional officials.	Explosives (dual-use)	Partial Suspension	Active
Spike-LR2 anti-tank missiles ($160M), 2023 — total $160M.
	Netherlands	November 2025 – Ministerial Decision Following Supreme Court Ruling	F-35 Export Suspension	Following an October 3 Supreme Court ruling requiring the government to reassess its suspended export license, ministers announced that the Netherlands will not supply F-35 fighter jet parts to Israel for the next six months.	F-35 components	Embargo	Active
	Netherlands	November 2025 – Rotterdam Naval Show Directive	Political Suspension	Event organizers barred Israeli defense companies from participating in the Netherlands’ largest defense exhibition.	Defense exhibitions	Symbolic	One-off
PULS MLRS ($305M), Barak-ER SAM (undisclosed), Harop (undisclosed) 2023–2024 — total value at least $305M.
	Spain	October 2023 – Government Moratorium	License Review	Froze all new defense exports after Oct 7; denied docking to an arms-transit ship.	Dual-use/defense exports	Partial Suspension	Active
	Spain	October 2025 – Gov. Decree & Law	Total Embargo	Formal law banning all arms exports/imports and aviation-fuel transit to Israel.	All military equipment	Embargo	Active
Spike-LR2 ($325M) and PULS/EXTRA/Predator Hawk/AccuLAR systems ($825M), 2023 — total $1.15B (canceled Sept. 2025).
	Slovenia	July 2025 – Government Resolution	Total Embargo	First EU state to impose total ban on import/export/transit of arms with Israel.	All arms and equipment	Embargo	Active
No recent procurement. Last order: Spike-MR ATGM (100 units), 2006.
	United Kingdom	September 2024 – Cabinet Decision	License Suspension	Suspended ~30 arms-export licenses amid IHL review; not a blanket ban; F-35 components generally excluded unless direct to Israel.	F-16 components, UAV components, naval systems, and targeting equipment	Partial Suspension	Active
	United Kingdom	Sept 2024 – Scottish Government Decision	Funding Suspension	Suspended new awards of public money to weapons firms supplying arms to Israel.	All military equipment	Embargo	Active
Sling 120mm mortar systems (undisclosed), 2024 — total value unknown.


Country	Date / Instrument	Action Type	Details	Affected Individuals	Status
Belgium	July 2025 – Federal Prosecutor’s Office	Universal Jurisdiction Case	Belgian prosecutors questioned two Israeli citizens after NGOs alleged they displayed an IDF Givati Brigade flag at the Tomorrowland festival and committed war crimes in Gaza, invoking Belgium’s universal-jurisdiction law. Both men were released after questioning.	IDF personnel	One-off
Denmark	September 2025 – AkademikerPension	Financial Divestment	Danish pension fund AkademikerPension excluded Israel from its investment universe, banning purchases of Israeli government bonds or state-owned companies due to grave human rights violations in Gaza.	Israeli state bonds; state-owned enterprises	Active
The Netherlands	October 2025 – ABP Pension Fund	Financial Divestment	The Netherlands’ largest pension fund sold all holdings in Caterpillar valued at €387 million under its updated sustainability policy, citing social-responsibility concerns linked to Gaza operations.	Defense industry holdings	Active
Norway	August 2025 – Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG)	Financial Divestment	Norway’s sovereign wealth fund announced divestment from five Israeli banks and from Caterpillar, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza. In December 2025, the Norwegian government approved a fiscal budget that excluded further divestment from Israeli companies, effectively reversing the measure.	Israeli-linked companies; defense sector	Revoked
Spain	October 2025 – Sabadell Bank	Financial Restriction / Asset Freeze	Israeli business owners in Spain reported frozen accounts after Sabadell Bank required them to sign declarations affirming their business do not finance military activity, in compliance with Spain’s “Gaza decree.”	Israeli individuals and companies in Spain	Active
United Kingdom	August 2025 – DSEI 2025 Trade Fair Ban	Diplomatic / Institutional Ban	The UK barred Israeli government officials from attending its largest defense exhibition, DSEI 2025, citing Israel’s military escalation in Gaza; Israeli defense firms participated privately without an official national pavilion.	Israeli Ministry of Defense officials; defense exhibitions	Active
United Kingdom	September 2025 – Ministry of Defence Decision	Academic Ban	The UK banned Israeli officers from attending the Royal College of Defence Studies, citing Israel’s planned escalation in Gaza.	IDF officers; defense education and training	Active

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U.S.-Israel Conference Registration

Nolan Judd — Tue, 26 Aug 2025 14:25:53 +0000

All guests are responsible for paying the registration fee, which includes admittance to the conference and the VIP dinner (for those who are eligible). Registration fees are non-refundable and cannot be prorated.

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